We said: Everton 1-2 Aston Villa
The re-introduction of 'Big Dunc' to the Everton dugout will undoubtedly go down better with the home crowd, but a reinvigorated Villa side will give the interim coach a baptism of fire on Saturday.
Results have not always gone Gerrard's way since his return to the Premier League, but we have confidence in the Lions' ability to prolong Everton's misery with another clinical display in front of goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Everton had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
