Premier League | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
2 - 3
Southampton

Bednarek (18' og.), Heung-min (70')
Sanchez (59'), Romero (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Broja (23'), Elyounoussi (79'), Adams (82')
Perraud (76'), Romeu (77'), Forster (84')

Hasenhuttl applauds Southampton's "outrageous" character in 3-2 win at Spurs

Antonio Conte admits Spurs are "too emotional" after Southampton loss

The Match

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 2-0 Southampton

Tottenham's affinity for goals at home coupled with Southampton's inability to keep the back door shut on the road makes it difficult to envisage Hasenhuttl's men making their midweek trip to the capital worthwhile. Conte will stress the message to his players that dropped points in games such as this one is simply not an option if they want to remain in the driving seat for a top-four place, so we can only back Spurs to prevail comfortably here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Southampton
71.6%	17.15%	11.25%

Both teams to score 50.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.08%

38.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.77%

61.23%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.4%

9.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.91%

32.08%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61%

44.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56%

80.44%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 71.6%

Southampton 11.25%

Draw 17.15%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Southampton
2-0 @ 11.7% 1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 9.14% 3-1 @ 7.43% 4-0 @ 5.36% 4-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.02% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.77% 6-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.82% Total : 71.6%	1-1 @ 8.11% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.92% Total : 17.15%	0-1 @ 3.46% 1-2 @ 3.29% 0-2 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.05% Total : 11.25%