Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
