Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
