Southampton have won their last four home games against Norwich in all competitions, while the Saints are unbeaten in their last 10 matches at St Mary's. Norwich are capable of finding the back of the net on Friday evening, but we are expecting Hasenhuttl's side to collect all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Norwich City
59.28%	23.41%	17.31%

Both teams to score 45.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.94%

53.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.36%

74.64%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39%

17.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.8%

48.2%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.75%

44.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.67%

80.33%

Score Analysis

Southampton 59.27%

Norwich City 17.31%

Draw 23.4%

Southampton	Draw	Norwich City
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.27%	1-1 @ 11.03% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.35% 1-2 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.59% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.59% Total : 17.31%