Norwich
0 - 4
Man City

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sterling (31', 70', 90'), Foden (48')
Dias (17'), Sterling (90+2')

Build‑up

Preview

Hat-trick hero Sterling: 'We can't rest on our laurels in title race'

The Match

We said: Norwich City 1-3 Manchester City

Norwich have risen to the occasion against Man City in recent meetings and they will fancy their chances of a potential upset in front of their home supporters. However, the Premier League leaders will be the strong favourites for Saturday's contest and they should have no problems in recording their 20th top-flight victory of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 7.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.49%) and 0-1 (11.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Manchester City
7.23%	14.59%	78.19%

Both teams to score 42.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.75%

40.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.37%

62.63%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46%

54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.72%

87.28%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.61%

8.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.81%

29.19%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 7.23%

Manchester City 78.17%

Draw 14.59%

Norwich City	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 2.79% 2-1 @ 2.13% Other @ 2.3% Total : 7.23%	1-1 @ 6.92% 0-0 @ 4.53% 2-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.49% Total : 14.59%	0-2 @ 13.91% 0-3 @ 11.49% 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-4 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 7.08% 1-4 @ 4.39% 0-5 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-5 @ 2.18% 0-6 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.68% Total : 78.17%