Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 7.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.49%) and 0-1 (11.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.92%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
