We said: Liverpool 3-0 Norwich City
Norwich have undoubtedly improved in the past month or so, but last weekend's defeat to Man City showed that they still struggle against the very best and it may be a similar story against Liverpool this weekend.
The Reds have averaged over three goals per game during a 15-match unbeaten league run against Norwich which includes 13 wins, while across the entire history of the Premier League they boast a better goals-per-game ratio against Norwich than they do against any other club.
With Salah having rediscovered his scoring touch in midweek we can see the hosts rippling the back of the net on a few occasions again, and Norwich's attacking record this season does not give us any reason to back them getting anything in reply.
Liverpool have already beaten Norwich 3-0 on two occasions this season, and we believe that they could make it a hat-trick of convincing wins on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 86.4%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 3.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
