SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Leeds United |
65.3% ( 0.02) | 19.59% ( -0.02) | 15.12% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.11% ( 0.1) | 40.89% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.72% ( 0.1) | 63.28% ( -0.09) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( 0.04) | 11.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.1% ( 0.07) | 36.9% ( -0.07) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.26% ( 0.06) | 39.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.59% ( 0.06) | 76.41% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Leeds United |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.64% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 65.29% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.59% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 15.12% |
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