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EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
SL

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Spurs

Lodi (50'), Lingard (57')
Lingard (64'), Mangala (68')
Mangala (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bissouma (67'), Kulusevski (87'), Bentancur (88'), Dier (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Brentford
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 Tottenham Hotspur

Both managers will make wholesale changes from their respective Premier League games at the weekend, and it is difficult to predict exactly what will happen in this match, especially as it comes before one more set of Premier League games ahead of the season coming to a halt. Conte will be able to call on the greater quality in reserve, though, and we are therefore backing the visitors to shade this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.14%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawTottenham Hotspur
26.1% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 23.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 50.14% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.88% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (0.215 0.22)44.54% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (0.209 0.21)66.91% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (0.124 0.12)30.77% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (0.143 0.14)67.03% (-0.148 -0.15)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (0.093000000000004 0.09)17.84% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (0.164 0.16)48.59% (-0.168 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 26.1%
    Tottenham Hotspur 50.14%
    Draw 23.76%
Nottingham ForestDrawTottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.47% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.1%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.52% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.38% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 50.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Brentford
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
Monday, October 10 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Spurs
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-3 Spurs
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, October 23 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 Spurs
Wednesday, October 19 at 8.15pm in Premier League


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