Leeds cannot welcome Bamford and Phillips back to the team soon enough, but while their two key English stars remain absent, Spurs can give themselves a much-needed injection of confidence on Saturday. Facing the league's worst defence will be music to the ears of Harry Kane and Son Heung-min, who should help to relieve some of the pressure on Conte's shoulders at Elland Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
36.67%	26.09%	37.25%

Both teams to score 53.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.46%

50.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.54%

72.46%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02%

61.98%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61%

26.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46%

61.54%

Score Analysis

Leeds United 36.67%

Tottenham Hotspur 37.25%

Draw 26.08%

Leeds United	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.15% Total : 36.67%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 3.67% 0-3 @ 2.78% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.22% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.25%