The points were shared in a 2-2 draw at London Stadium last season, and West Ham are certainly capable of making this a tricky opener for the champions. It would not be a surprise to see a draw on Sunday, but we just have a feeling that Man City will do enough to secure all three points in the capital. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 11.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a West Ham United win it was 2-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Manchester City
11.14% ( -0.16)	16.69% ( 0)	72.17% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.99% (

-0.49)

37.01% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.8% (

-0.54)

59.2% (

0.54)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69% (

-0.62)

43.31% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.45% (

-0.52)

79.55% (

0.53)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.03% (

-0.09)

8.98% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.39% (

-0.21)

30.61% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

West Ham United 11.14%

Manchester City 72.17%

Draw 16.69%

West Ham United	Draw	Manchester City
2-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.22% Total : 11.14%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.01% Total : 16.69%	0-2 @ 11.29% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 9.08% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.42% Total : 72.17%