SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Manchester City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Manchester United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.88%) and 0-2 (5.33%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester City |
34.75% ( 0.02) | 22.44% ( 0.01) | 42.81% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 67.04% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.55% ( -0.02) | 33.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.76% ( -0.03) | 55.24% ( 0.03) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0) | 19.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% | 51.97% |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( -0.02) | 16.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( -0.04) | 45.95% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.35% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.81% |
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