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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Jan 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
London Stadium
NL

West Ham
2 - 0
Norwich

Bowen (42', 83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

We said: West Ham United 2-1 Norwich City

Given the quick turnaround and ongoing issues with coronavirus and fatigue, this could prove to be a competitive fixture. Nevertheless, West Ham's superior quality in the final third should eventually prove decisive, potentially in the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawNorwich City
57.03%23.4%19.56%
Both teams to score 49.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06%49.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07%71.92%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71%17.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37%47.63%
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.2%39.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54%76.46%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 57.02%
    Norwich City 19.56%
    Draw 23.39%
West Ham UnitedDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.71%
4-0 @ 2.72%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.02%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.39%
0-1 @ 6.34%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 19.56%

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