Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 6.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.04%) and 1-0 (10.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
