MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 22:20:07
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-2 with a probability of 5.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (5.69%) and 3-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 2-3 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
44.46%18.47%37.07%
Both teams to score 83.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
86.71%13.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
72.14%27.86%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.25%7.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.44%27.56%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43%9.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99%32.01%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 44.46%
    Real Madrid 37.07%
    Draw 18.47%
Manchester CityDrawReal Madrid
3-2 @ 5.69%
2-1 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 4.85%
4-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 3.1%
4-3 @ 2.85%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.07%
1-0 @ 1.9%
5-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.59%
5-3 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 6.02%
Total : 44.46%
2-2 @ 6.68%
3-3 @ 4.46%
1-1 @ 4.45%
4-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 18.47%
2-3 @ 5.22%
1-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 4.08%
2-4 @ 3.07%
3-4 @ 2.61%
1-4 @ 2.4%
0-2 @ 2.04%
0-1 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.6%
2-5 @ 1.44%
3-5 @ 1.23%
1-5 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 37.07%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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