Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-2 with a probability of 5.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (5.69%) and 3-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 2-3 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.