Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Roma had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
