Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
