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MU
Premier League | Gameweek 34
May 13, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Old Trafford
LL

Man Utd
2 - 4
Liverpool

Fernandes (10'), Rashford (68')
Bailly (48'), McTominay (79'), Cavani (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jota (34'), Firmino (45+3', 47'), Salah (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawLiverpool
33.17%25.12%41.71%
Both teams to score 56.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2%46.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95%69.05%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98%27.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63%62.37%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.86%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 33.17%
    Liverpool 41.71%
    Draw 25.12%
Manchester UnitedDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-1 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 2.53%
3-0 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.17%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.05%
1-2 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 6.78%
1-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.71%

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