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Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
MU

Roma
3 - 2
Man Utd

Dzeko (57'), Cristante (60'), Telles (83' og.)
Karsdorp (72'), Cristante (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cavani (39', 68')
Wan-Bissaka (18'), Fred (58'), Cavani (72'), Williams (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawManchester United
28.74%27.77%43.5%
Both teams to score 46.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1%58.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.39%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.67%36.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89%73.12%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13%26.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81%62.19%
Score Analysis
    Roma 28.74%
    Manchester United 43.49%
    Draw 27.77%
RomaDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 6.58%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.69%
3-2 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 28.74%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 12.82%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 8.43%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.49%

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