Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
