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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
King Power Stadium
NF

Leicester
4 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Maddison (25', 35'), Barnes (27'), Daka (73')
Soumare (71'), Maddison (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Williams (18'), Kouyate (33'), Lingard (64'), Cook (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Nottingham Forest

If any game had the makings of a drab and dull 0-0, this is certainly not one of them, as Leicester's defensive shortcomings continue to cancel out their relatively successful attacking phases. Forest have been leaking goals at an alarming rate themselves, and Leicester still possess a number of difference-makers capable of getting their side out of a sticky situation, and we can picture the Foxes finally getting on the board to relieve some of the pressure on Rodgers's shoulders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 58.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 18.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
58.08% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.42%18.51% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.0040000000000049 0)51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)47.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.15% (0.0019999999999953 0)41.85% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 58.06%
    Nottingham Forest 18.51%
    Draw 23.41%
Leicester CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.41%
2-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 6-2 Leicester
Saturday, September 17 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 5-2 Leicester
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Man Utd
Thursday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Leicester
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Leicester (1-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Fulham
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 6-0 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Spurs
Sunday, August 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League


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