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M
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
A

Maritimo
2 - 2
Arouca

Viana (35'), Alipour (45+11' pen.)
Vidigal (7'), Xadas (36'), Rossi (48'), Costa (90+1')
Vidigal (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bukia (8'), Silva (82')
Miguel Pereira Da Silva (36'), Silva (45+3'), Filipe Alves Araujo (47'), Basso (61'), Kouassi (85'), Dabbagh (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MaritimoDrawArouca
40.85%27.44%31.71%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.29%56.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34%77.66%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74%27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3%62.69%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06%32.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48%69.52%
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 40.85%
    Arouca 31.71%
    Draw 27.44%
MaritimoDrawArouca
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 3.29%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.85%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.97%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.71%

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