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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
GV

Tondela
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Pedro (5' pen.)
Agra (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandes (2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.27%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (12.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
TondelaDrawGil Vicente
34.48%30.24%35.27%
Both teams to score 41.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.14%65.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.51%84.49%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15%35.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37%72.63%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69%35.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93%72.06%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 34.48%
    Gil Vicente 35.26%
    Draw 30.23%
TondelaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 12.98%
2-1 @ 6.93%
2-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.51%
0-0 @ 12.65%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.23%
0-1 @ 13.17%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 35.26%

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