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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
GV

Guimaraes
2 - 4
Gil Vicente

Rochinha (40'), Lameiras (79')
Fernandes (7'), Suliman (32'), Andre (83')
Mumin (15')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Marques (19'), Lourency (26'), Talocha (45+2' pen.), Silva (80')
Talocha (31'), Nogueira (51'), Ricardo Soares Ribeiro (64'), Silva (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
45.57%28.14%26.29%
Both teams to score 44.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.69%61.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77%81.22%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74%62.25%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.29%39.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62%76.38%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.56%
    Gil Vicente 26.29%
    Draw 28.13%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.02%
2-0 @ 9.2%
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-1 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 4.56%
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 26.29%

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