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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio da Luz
M

Benfica
1 - 0
Maritimo

Waldschmidt (21' pen.)
Weigl (23'), Silva (72'), Nunez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rene (38'), Winck (38'), Pelagio (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (11.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawMaritimo
78.64%14.48%6.88%
Both teams to score 40.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83%41.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43%63.57%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.5%8.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.54%29.46%
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.4%55.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.76%88.23%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 78.64%
    Maritimo 6.88%
    Draw 14.48%
BenficaDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 14.36%
3-0 @ 11.8%
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-1 @ 8.43%
4-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 6.93%
4-1 @ 4.27%
5-0 @ 3.59%
5-1 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 2.03%
6-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 78.64%
1-1 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 4.73%
2-2 @ 2.48%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 14.48%
0-1 @ 2.78%
1-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 6.88%

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