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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 20, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
B

Gil Vicente
0 - 2
Benfica


Nogueira (39'), Carvalho (63')
Nogueira (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sam (59' og.), Everton (65')
Gilberto (43'), Weigl (46')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawBenfica
15.33%20.56%64.1%
Both teams to score 50.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12%44.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.77%67.23%
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.08%41.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.64%78.36%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71%13.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.89%40.1%
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 15.33%
    Benfica 64.1%
    Draw 20.57%
Gil VicenteDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 4.84%
2-1 @ 4.25%
2-0 @ 2.11%
3-2 @ 1.24%
3-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.33%
1-1 @ 9.77%
0-0 @ 5.57%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 20.57%
0-2 @ 11.34%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 6.64%
0-4 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 2.89%
0-5 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 1.46%
1-5 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 64.1%

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