Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
