Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 9.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
