Dynamo Kiev can afford to play without fear at the Estadio da Luz, but their lack of ruthlessness in the Champions League will likely cost them before they bow out of the competition.
An expected triumph for Benfica could very well see them clamber into the top two at the expense of Barcelona, and Jesus's side should have no problem doing their bit while the Catalans seek to spring a surprise in Munich.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 15.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
