After a fine start to the season, Pacos de Ferreira have fallen off the pace in recent weeks as they are without a win in each of their last six games. They have managed just one win since August 29, when they saw off Portimonense and this poor run of results has seen them drop into the bottom half of the table. However, the visitors have struggled to get going on the road this term, picking up one win from six games and we predict the spoils will be shared in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 35.53%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (12.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
