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Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio da Luz

Benfica
3 - 0
Sporting Covilha

Seferovic (28'), Nunez (68' pen., 73')
Meite (5'), Taarabt (84'), Almeida (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tembeng (19'), Heliton (43'), Issoko (85')
Tembeng (39')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Benfica and Sporting Covilha.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.79%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 8.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Covilha
78.79%13.16%8.05%
Both teams to score 52.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.68%29.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.63%50.37%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.12%5.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.46%22.54%
Sporting Covilha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.01%43.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.89%80.11%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 78.78%
    Sporting Covilha 8.05%
    Draw 13.16%
BenficaDrawSporting Covilha
2-0 @ 10.38%
3-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 8.06%
1-0 @ 7.33%
4-0 @ 6.96%
4-1 @ 5.71%
5-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 3.31%
5-1 @ 3.24%
4-2 @ 2.35%
6-0 @ 1.86%
6-1 @ 1.53%
5-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 78.78%
1-1 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 3.5%
0-0 @ 2.59%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 13.16%
1-2 @ 2.47%
0-1 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 8.05%

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