Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Benfica and Sporting Covilha.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 78.79%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 8.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.02%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.