SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vizela |
41.61% ( 0.1) | 26.51% ( 0.11) | 31.89% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -0.48) | 53.05% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -0.41) | 74.63% ( 0.42) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.16) | 25.18% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( -0.23) | 59.9% ( 0.23) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.06% ( -0.39) | 30.94% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( -0.45) | 67.24% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.89% |
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