Despite having just five points so far, Vizela have been extremely unlucky against top opposition and their league position so far is not a true reflection of how well they have performed in stages.
Portimonense will be brimming with confidence though, given their current position in the standings and will come into the fixture as slight favourites.
However, neither side have reached double-figures for goals for or goals against yet after seven matches each, so we expect another low-scoring encounter which could go either way, but a draw seems most likely.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
-0.41) 
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