Boavista head into the weekend fresh off the back of a hard-earned victory over Pacos de Ferreira and will look to keep the ball rolling. However, they face an Arouca side who have been solid on their home turf in recent weeks. We predict the Arouquenses will frustrate the efforts of the visitors and hold out for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
1.16) 
-1.38) 
