SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
42.62% ( -1.14) | 27.67% ( 0.12) | 29.71% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.82% ( -0.04) | 58.18% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( -0.03) | 78.83% ( 0.03) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( -0.62) | 27% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( -0.81) | 62.35% ( 0.81) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% ( 0.77) | 35.18% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.06% ( 0.8) | 71.93% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.71% |
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