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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
B

Famalicao
1 - 2
Braga

Cadiz (62' pen.)
Otavio (27'), Chiquinho (64'), Cadiz (76'), Soares (90+13')
Assuncao (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Borja (73'), Djalo (90+11')
Carvalho (21'), Pizzi (26'), Moutinho (89'), Borja (90+12'), Ruiz (90+13')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 1-2 Braga

While form has not been great in 2024 for Braga, this is an excellent opportunity for them to return to winning ways, but defensive issues may mean it will be closer than they would prefer. Famalicao took advantage to beat an underwhelming Casa Pia side last weekend and will almost certainly find it tougher here despite familiar surroundings, and may well suffer a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Braga had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawBraga
37.85%24.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.33% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.020000000000003 0.02)43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (0.018000000000001 0.02)66.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.91% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.012 0.01)56.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (0.012 0.01)23.05% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.13% (0.016999999999996 0.02)56.87% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 37.85%
    Braga 37.58%
    Draw 24.57%
FamalicaoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 8.38%
0-1 @ 7.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 37.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-2 Famalicao
Saturday, January 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Chaves
Sunday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Famalicao
Friday, December 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, December 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Famalicao
Saturday, December 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-3 Porto
Saturday, December 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Braga
Wednesday, January 10 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, January 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Saturday, December 30 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-3 Braga
Friday, December 22 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Benfica
Sunday, December 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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