Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
