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P
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
B

Porto
1 - 0
Braga

Diaz (22')
Mario (19'), Conceicao (45+2'), Otavio (64'), Vitinha (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oliveira (38'), Silva (45+4'), Rodrigues (76'), Piazon (79'), Moura (86')

We said: Porto 1-2 Braga

Braga boasts a superior record in the recent meetings between the sides and will be seeking to maintain their run of results against the hosts. However, Porto appear simply unstoppable at the moment and we predict they will claim all three points and continue their impressive title challenge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Braga had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Braga win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawBraga
58.21%21.31%20.48%
Both teams to score 58.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44%39.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.09%61.9%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.65%13.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76%40.24%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12%32.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55%69.45%
Score Analysis
    Porto 58.21%
    Braga 20.48%
    Draw 21.31%
PortoDrawBraga
2-1 @ 9.9%
2-0 @ 8.9%
1-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 6.64%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.34%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 58.21%
1-1 @ 9.83%
2-2 @ 5.51%
0-0 @ 4.39%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-1 @ 4.88%
0-2 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 20.48%

Read more!
Read more!


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