While Belenenses will be aiming to build on their morale-booting cup win, they take on a significantly stronger Braga side, who have lost just one game at home, while winning four of their last five. We anticipate Braga will come away with the win in this one and end their winless run.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
