Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
