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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Dec 22, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal
RA

Braga
3 - 0
Rio Ave

Horta (43'), Fransergio (62'), Paulinho (88')
Tormena (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawRio Ave
52.77%24.81%22.42%
Both teams to score 49.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.95%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23%19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.18%51.81%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.82%38.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.06%74.94%
Score Analysis
    Braga 52.77%
    Rio Ave 22.42%
    Draw 24.81%
BragaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 12.23%
2-0 @ 9.92%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.81%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.82%
2-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 22.42%

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