SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.44%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Braga |
| 20.56% | 24.11% | 55.33% |
| Both teams to score 49.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% | 51.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% | 73.33% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.35% | 39.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.67% | 76.33% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% | 18.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.28% | 49.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-1 @ 5.3% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.56% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 0-2 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-3 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 5.43% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.2% Total : 55.32% |
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