Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
