Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.