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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Nov 29, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal
FL

Braga
1 - 0
Farense

Elmusrati (87')
Carmo (3'), Fransergio (58'), Novais (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Oudrhiri (46'), Falcao (81'), Gauld (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 17.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.

Result
BragaDrawSC Farense
61.33%21.52%17.15%
Both teams to score 51.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3%45.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98%68.02%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61%14.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71%42.29%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91%40.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27%76.73%
Score Analysis
    Braga 61.33%
    SC Farense 17.15%
    Draw 21.52%
BragaDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 9.91%
3-0 @ 7.01%
3-1 @ 6.4%
4-0 @ 3.4%
4-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.32%
5-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 61.33%
1-1 @ 10.22%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.52%
0-1 @ 5.27%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.41%
1-3 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 17.15%

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