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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
B

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Benfica


Neto (7'), Godwin (27'), Taira (31'), Kunimoto (53'), Fernandes (59'), Anderson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramos (59')
Otamendi (29'), Luis (30'), Silva (90+5')
Otamendi (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, August 9 at 6.45pm in Champions League

We said: Casa Pia 0-2 Benfica

While Casa Pia will be seeking their first win of the season, standing in their way is a rampant Benfica side who have won each of their last nine games across all competitions. Considering the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing the visitors to come away with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
13.1% (-0.016 -0.02) 19.35% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 67.55% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.012 -0.01)44.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)66.69% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.2% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)44.8% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (-0.023 -0.02)80.77% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28%37.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 13.1%
    Benfica 67.54%
    Draw 19.35%
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-0 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
3-1 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.1%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 8.5% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 4.48% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-4 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-5 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.52%
2-4 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 67.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-0 Casa Pia
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Sheff Utd
Friday, July 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 1 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Viseu 1-4 Casa Pia
Saturday, July 24 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, August 9 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Arouca
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Fulham
Sunday, July 17 at 8.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Reading 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, July 9 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


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