While Casa Pia will be seeking their first win of the season, standing in their way is a rampant Benfica side who have won each of their last nine games across all competitions. Considering the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, we are backing the visitors to come away with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.46%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
13.1% ( -0.02)	19.35% ( -0)	67.55% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.5% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

-0.01)

44.31% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

-0.01)

66.69% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.2% (

-0.03)

44.8% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.22% (

-0.02)

80.77% (

0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.87% (

-0)

12.13% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28%

37.72% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 13.1%

Benfica 67.54%

Draw 19.35%

Casa Pia	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.1%	1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.35%	0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-4 @ 4.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 67.54%