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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 9, 2022 at 6.45pm UK
MCH Arena
B

Midtjylland
1 - 3
Benfica

Sisto (63')
Onyedika (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fernandez (23'), Araujo (56'), Goncalves (88')
Ramos (29'), Silva (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Arouca
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: FC Midtjylland 1-3 Benfica

We can envisage another comfortable victory for Benfica to move themselves within one tie of the Champions League group stage. They outclassed Midtjylland in the first leg and while it would be no surprise to see the Danish side score again, the visitors surely have too much firepower for them to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest FC Midtjylland win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawBenfica
29.47% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.44% (0.012 0.01) 46.09% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)45.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)67.59% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)64.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)19.75% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)51.78% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 29.47%
    Benfica 46.09%
    Draw 24.43%
FC MidtjyllandDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.47%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 3-3 Midtjylland
Friday, August 5 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Odense 1-5 Midtjylland
Friday, July 29 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Larnaca 1-1 Midtjylland (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 26 at 4.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Silkeborg
Friday, July 22 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-1 Larnaca
Tuesday, July 19 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Arouca
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Fulham
Sunday, July 17 at 8.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Reading 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, July 9 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga


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