While Casa Pia will be desperate to get their campaign up and running, they face a Boavista side who have flown out of the blocks this season. Os Axadrezados are currently firing on all cylinders at both ends of the pitch and we anticipate that they will come away with all three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Boavista
37.04% ( 4.38)	28.52% ( 0.96)	34.44% ( -5.34)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

-2.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.8% (

-3.26)

60.2% (

3.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.61% (

-2.54)

80.39% (

2.54)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

1.21)

31.19% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

1.38)

67.53% (

-1.38)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-4.9)

32.87% (

4.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-5.84)

69.44% (

5.84)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 37.03%

Boavista 34.43%

Draw 28.52%

Casa Pia	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 1.73) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 1.2) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.54) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 1.19) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.37) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.9) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -1.01) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.78) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.43%