Vitoria de Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Boavista, while they have emerged victorious in two of those contests, and with the top five still a possibility, we think that the hosts will pick up another victory over Boavista.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
