Sporting Lisbon will be looking to restore some pride following their cup defeat to Porto also condemned them to a second successive loss for the first time since March 2020. Looking at past results between the sides, we are backing Amorim's men to come away with all three points and extend their dominance over the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
