Fresh off the back of a solid display against Porto, Santa Clara will head into Monday with sky-high confidence as they look to end their winless run against Chaves. While we expect the hosts to put up a fight, we are backing Silva's men to take the positives from their draw against the league champions and claim a narrow victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 47.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.08) 
