Rio Ave and Santa Clara have endured slow starts to the league campaign and find themselves separated by just one point in the second half of the standings after seven rounds of matches. Both sides are evenly-matched on paper and we predict that the spoils will be shared in this one as they also head into the game in similar form.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
-0.67) 
0.13) 
