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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
GV

Chaves
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Mendes (46', 67'), Arriba (59')
Mendes (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Navarro (25')
Aouacheria (33'), Cunha (45+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Gil Vicente

This should be a tight affair. The cup defeat could have caused some damage to the confidence of the hosts, but they should still be able to hold on for a point against their struggling visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
39.55% (-0.31 -0.31) 26.62% (0.093 0.09) 33.83% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 51.87% (-0.24 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.96% (-0.327 -0.33)53.04% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.37% (-0.278 -0.28)74.63% (0.285 0.28)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)26.27% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-0.428 -0.43)61.38% (0.435 0.44)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)65.7% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 39.55%
    Gil Vicente 33.83%
    Draw 26.61%
ChavesDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.41% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.79% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.47% (0.118 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Estoril
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Chaves
Friday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 3-0 Chaves
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, September 5 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, September 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Porto
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Gil Vicente
Monday, August 29 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga


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