Porto have not done things the easy way this season, but last season's runners-up should be able to get the better of Estrela Amadora, who are still adapting to life in the top flight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Porto
11.8% ( -0)	19.49% ( -0)	68.7% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.02% (

47.98% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.85% (

70.15% (

-0)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.75% (

-0)

49.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87%

84.13%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

12.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

39.3% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 11.8%

Porto 68.69%

Draw 19.5%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.5% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.26% 2-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.45% Total : 11.8%	1-1 @ 9.21% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.5%	0-2 @ 13.32% 0-1 @ 13% 1-2 @ 9.44% 0-3 @ 9.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.44% 0-4 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-5 @ 1.91% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.73% Total : 68.69%